Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.462949 3.843431 4.256157 4.738397 5.287999 5.896714 6.624470
2025-06-08 2.889477 3.392829 3.977395 4.711207 5.614398 6.698319 8.110551
2025-06-15 2.616086 3.203851 3.922531 4.876037 6.123066 7.719863 9.954159
2025-06-22 2.345279 2.966485 3.756947 4.852380 6.356394 8.386926 11.402444
2025-06-29 2.125463 2.761272 3.597636 4.800117 6.521328 8.954671 12.764443
2025-07-06 1.881373 2.496063 3.326154 4.555237 6.374824 9.046292 13.417144
2025-07-13 1.762095 2.387732 3.255326 4.579086 6.608192 9.707213 15.019985
2025-07-20 1.678832 2.320693 3.233453 4.666731 6.938902 10.545990 17.023876
2025-07-27 1.609635 2.266721 3.223381 4.766931 7.293788 11.457890 19.284813
2025-08-03 1.538928 2.203969 3.193211 4.829683 7.589781 12.300724 21.548723
2025-08-10 1.467660 2.134393 3.145799 4.857876 7.826720 13.063915 23.779740
2025-08-17 1.366452 2.011577 3.005631 4.719710 7.759507 13.268360 24.932853
2025-08-24 1.289244 1.922974 2.916100 4.663299 7.838922 13.767803 26.811633
2025-08-31 1.224299 1.849708 2.846189 4.634440 7.965263 14.372939 29.030890
2025-09-07 1.201255 1.842158 2.883262 4.795634 8.462414 15.773572 33.308514
2025-09-14 1.146485 1.778746 2.821484 4.772378 8.600234 16.455269 36.034693
2025-09-21 1.091432 1.711431 2.748229 4.721138 8.675875 17.012745 38.565917
2025-09-28 1.009587 1.594365 2.581386 4.481075 8.344496 16.639519 38.629703
2025-10-05 0.975885 1.557772 2.553833 4.504457 8.560321 17.518392 42.214555
2025-10-12 0.953938 1.540113 2.558602 4.590381 8.916728 18.769820 47.127432
2025-10-19 0.934956 1.526431 2.569394 4.688605 9.309964 20.166457 52.821129
2025-10-26 0.911867 1.504057 2.562528 4.750116 9.627614 21.424693 58.431948
2025-11-02 0.885618 1.474517 2.540279 4.777750 9.870364 22.528800 63.855341